The workshop on "Tipping Elements in the Climate System, with a Focus on the North Atlantic" was held on 18-19 September 2017 at Wolfson College, Oxford (UK). The focus of the workshop was tipping elements in the climate system, with a focus on the North Atlantic. Blue-Action focuses on Arctic and high latitude changes. The high number of tipping elements in this region and their potentially large impact on Northern Hemisphere climate is of particular interest and concern to Blue-Action scientists.
The workshop was organised by Didier Swingedouw (CNRS-University of Bordeaux), Gerard McCarthy (NOC /Maynooth University) and Sybren Drijfhout (SOTON/ KNMI), all Blue-Action scientist. The workshop was held over two days in Oxford, back to back with the Joint Science Meeting ACSIS - OSNAP – RAPID Understanding Change and Variability in the North Atlantic Climate System.
Presentations
- Didier Swingedouw (CNRS-EPOC), Tipping elements of the climate system, https://zenodo.org/record/3755403#.Xpl66_0zbiw
- Valerie Livina (NPL), Tipping point analysis of geophysical data, https://zenodo.org/record/3755418#.Xpl7yv0zbiw
Outputs of the workshop
- Detailed report on the discussions and way forward (Deliverable D6.1), available in Zenodo
- Key take-home messages for policy-makers
Resources
Baehr, J., Keller, K., & Marotzke, J. (2008). Detecting potential changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26 N in the Atlantic. Climatic Change, 91(1-2), 11-27.
Livina, V. N., & Lenton, T. M. (2007). A modified method for detecting incipient bifurcations in a dynamical system. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(3).
Livina, V. N., Lohmann, G., Mudelsee, M., & Lenton, T. M. (2013). Forecasting the underlying potential governing the time series of a dynamical system. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 392(18), 3891-3902.
Valdes, P. (2011). Built for stability. Nature Geoscience, 4(7), 414, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1200
