Facilitating the science needed to support ocean governance and management from domestic, regional to international scales in the Atlantic region, from pole to pole.
A 90-minute online side event at the All-Atlantic2021 - All-Atlantic R&I for a Sustainable Ocean: Ministerial & Stakeholder Conference (www.allatlantic2021.eu)
Confirmed date: Wednesday 2 June, 13:30-15:00 CEST / (11:30-13:00 UTC)
Agenda: to be announced soon.
Target audience: Ministerial representatives, Members of the European Parliament, International organisations’ officials, European Commission officials, Representatives of NGOs, Stakeholders (including the general public), Representatives of the industrial sector, Policy officers
Registration page: please register to join the discussion https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/atlantic-ocean-and-polar-processes-from-climate-science-to-policy-tickets-148604519117
Contributors from H2020 Blue-Action project:
- Gerard McCarthy (Maynooth University) Gerard.McCarthy@mu.ie
- Steffen M. Olsen (Danish Meteorological Institute) email@example.com
- Hannah Grist (SAMS Research Services Ltd) firstname.lastname@example.org
Contributors from the H2020 MISSION ATLANTIC project:
- Patrizio Mariani (Technical University of Denmark) pat@ aqua.dtu.dk
- Andrei Polejack (World Maritime University) email@example.com
- Mary Wisz (World Maritime University) firstname.lastname@example.org
Contributors from the H2020 SO-CHIC project:
- Jean-Baptiste Sallee (CNRS, LOCEAN-IPSL) email@example.com
- Amelie Lecornec (SORBONNE UNIVERSITE) amelie.lecornec@SORBONNE-UNIVERSITE.FR
Contributors from the H2020 TRIATLAS project:
- Elaine McDonagh (NORCE, Norway and NOC, UK) firstname.lastname@example.org
- Nilgun Kulan (Univ. Bergen) Nilgun.Kulan@uib.no
The climatic importance of the Atlantic Ocean, from pole to pole, is widely recognized. In the north, the AMOC carries 25% of the northward heat transport of the Northern Hemisphere and plays a major role in driving climate variability of many ocean and atmosphere systems. In the south, ocean circulation sinks at the bottom of the ocean, propagating climate signals to the ocean abysses, and participating in buffering climate change. Abrupt changes in these circulation systems could have major impacts on ecosystems and societies. Emerging results emphasize taking understanding and observing of these high latitude Atlantic ocean circulation system beyond the traditional concepts; e.g. AMOC collapse is not the only tipping element in the North Atlantic - convective collapse in the subpolar gyre can lead to the same abrupt cooling that we associate with full AMOC collapse; specific currents and subsystems can behave independent of AMOC dynamics and hence have a differing impact on Arctic sea ice cover; recent unprecedented cold and fresh anomalies in the North Atlantic could be indicative of proximity to a climate tipping point; current change in Antarctic ice-sheet can affect Southern Ocean circulation and feedback on sea-ice and icesheet; how changes in AMOC relates on change in Southern Ocean circulation and vice-versa. There are major knowledge gaps and large uncertainties about the impacts of such climatic tipping points on terrestrial and marine ecosystems including human societies. Governance and management responses to these questions will best be informed by drawing upon a diversity of natural and social sciences and engaging with different sectors and stakeholders also leveraging on the means of science diplomacy. The European Commission has been working on long-term strategies for supporting observations in the Atlantic and has been funding a number of projects and initiatives in the past years to focus on research gaps.
What kind of research priorities should be taken into account in establishing a framework for scientific international cooperation in the next decades?
- Scientific Area 2 – Ocean observation, forecasting and monitoring
- Scientific Area 1 – Ocean Health: climate variability and ecosystem approaches
This side-event is co-organized by four Horizon 2020 funded research projects working on climate predictions in the Atlantic. Blue-Action focuses on changes in climate and weather in the Arctic, it works to develop and improve models that can predict climate from seasons to decades in advance. MISSION ATLANTIC works to map and assess present and future status of Atlantic marine ecosystems under multiple stressors. SO-CHIC seeks to understand and quantify variability of heat and carbon budgets in the Southern Ocean through an investigation of the key processes controlling exchanges between the atmosphere, ocean and sea ice. TRIATLAS aims to inform sustainable management of human activities affecting Atlantic marine ecosystems that is critical to maintain ecosystem health and support the blue economy of bordering nations.
- Blue-Action: Arctic Impact on Weather and Climate (2016-2021) https://www.blue-action.eu/
- MISSION ATLANTIC: Towards the Sustainable Development of the Atlantic Ocean: Mapping and Assessing the present and future status of Atlantic marine ecosystems under the influence of climate change and exploitation (2020-2025) http://www.missionatlantic.eu/
- SO-CHIC: Southern Ocean Carbon and Heat Impact on Climate (2019-2024) http://www.sochic-h2020.eu/
- TRIATLAS: South and Tropical Atlantic Climate-based Marine Ecosystem Prediction for Sustainable Management (2019-2023) https://triatlas.w.uib.no
The Blue-Action, MISSION ATLANTIC, SO-CHIC, TRIATLAS projects have received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 727852, 862428, 821001, 817578 respectively.